Archive for the 'Real Estate' Category

More trouble ahead for Countrywide

Countrywide Mortgage hasn’t had a particularly good year and now it’s just gotten worse. Today, the states of California and Illinois announced they are suing Countrywide over predatory lending practices. And, Washington state is seeking to revoke Countrywide’s license, impose a $1 million penalty and halt the lender from writing mortgage loans in the state.

NWMLS Lies

Well…not really lies. More of a mistake, but a serious one. The published March 2008 condo closed sales median price data for Areas 700, 701, 705, 710, 715 and 720, in the King County Breakout PDF are incorrect. The PDF is published by the NWMLS on its public site - www.nwrealestate.com and its member site. As a result, the reported condo sales figures for Seattle are skewed and have been republished incorrectly by local media.

I’ve reported the error and am waiting for the revised data.

Update: They actually sent me the corrected report fairly quickly. It doesn’t look like they’ve updated the public site yet, though.

Foreclosures are catching fire, literally

From CNN Video: Desperate owners burn homes

February 2008 NWMLS Update

From NWMLS Press Release:

February housing activity around western Washington signaled signs of an emerging spring market with a noticeable increase in open house traffic, reports of multiple offers and a big jump in pending sales from the previous month.

New figures from Northwest Multiple Listing Service show a 23.6 percent increase in pending sales (offers made and accepted, but not yet closed) compared to January. Prices for last month’s closed sales of single family homes and condominiums (combined) were up in 12 of the 19 counties in the MLS service area.

“In March, the real estate market is set to get its mojo back,” remarked J. Lennox Scott, chairman and CEO of John L. Scott Real Estate. “We’re already seeing the momentum build as more and more buyers realize what a great time it is to buy a home thanks to low interest rates, healthy inventory, and a strong local economy,” he added.

Area-wide, the MLS reported 5,563 pending sales of single family homes and condominiums for February, up from January’s total of 4,499. Last month’s total still lagged the busier market of a year ago when there were 8,043 pending sales of single family homes (a decline of nearly 31 percent).

While encouraged by last month’s jump in pending sales from January, brokers also acknowledge hesitancy still exists among some buyers. However, among sellers, one broker said “they’re motivated like never before and willing to listen to reasonable offers much more readily today.”

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Legislative Updates

1. Condo Conversion Bill, Senate Bill 6411

Per the Senate’s listserv notification I received, the February 5th Public Meeting on the bill was cancelled. It is not currently on the agenda for this coming week.

2. Reserve Accounts & Studies for Condominiums, House Subsitute Bill 2541, Senate Bill 6215

Authorizes condominium associations to conduct reserve studies and to establish a reserve fund. The bills have passed their respective houses and now move to the opposite house for consideration. A public hearing of the Senate’s version will be heard in the House on February 20th while a public hearing of the House’s version will be heard in the Senate on February 21st.

House Subsitute version summary:

  • Requires a residential condominium association, unless doing so would impose an unreasonable hardship, to (1) prepare an initial reserve study based upon a visual site inspection conducted by a reserve study professional; (2) update the study annually; and (3) arrange for a visual site inspection every three years by a reserve study professional.
  • Encourages, but does not require, a residential condominium association to establish a reserve account, supplemental to the association’s annual operating budget, to fund major maintenance, repair, and replacement of common elements.
  • Requires a condominium public offering statement or resale certificate to include (1) a copy of the current reserve study, or (2) a disclosure to the potential buyer stating that the association does not have a reserve study.

Senate version summary:

  • Condominium associations (association) are encouraged to establish a reserve fund account to pay for major repairs or replacement of common elements. An association may withdraw funds from the reserve account for unforeseen expenses, as long as notice is given to unit owners, and a repayment schedule is set up.
  • Associations must conduct and update reserve studies annually. The initial study and the study done each third-year thereafter must be conducted by a reserve study professional. Reserve studies must include detailed information on projected expenditures and current reserve account information.
  • If an association has not conducted a reserve study prepared by a professional in the past three years, one may be demanded if 20 percent or more of the unit owners agree. An association may refuse the demand if conducting the study would impose an unreasonable economic hardship on the association. An unreasonable hardship exists if preparing the study would cost more than 10 percent of the association’s annual budget.
  • Public offering statements and seller’s disclosures must include either: (1) a copy of the association’s current reserve study; or (2) a disclosure informing the buyer that there is no current reserve study and the possible risks that the buyer faces because of the lack of a current study.

3. Seller’s Disclosure Statement Revision, House Bill 2894

The bill amends the Seller’s Disclosure Statement, Form 17, to include wood burning appliances. The bill passed the House and has moved to the Senate. A public hearing as been scheduled in the Senate on February 22nd.

State Provides Foreclosure Counseling

The Seattle PI reported that Governor Gregoire signed into law a $1.5 million bill that’ll provide counseling to at-risk homeowners.

The money will go to agencies that counsel people facing foreclosures, as the governor tries to curtail effects of the mortgage loan crisis hitting the nation and the state. The bill signed Monday also will pay for a free number for people to call for help. The number, 1-877-894-HOME, will be operating in about two weeks.

NWMLS 2007 Homes Sales Brokers Report

(Press Release from the NWMLS)

Members of Northwest Multiple Listing Service tallied more than $32.3 billion in sales of single family homes and condominiums during 2007 . The MLS also reported 18 of the 19 counties in its market area experienced increases in median prices compared to 2006, with one county matching the 2006 price.

In its year-end summary report, Northwest MLS, whose service area covers about 80 percent of the state’s population, logged more than 82,000 closed sales during 2007. Single family homes accounted for nearly 82 percent of the number of sales and about 86 percent of the dollar volume, with condominiums making up the balance.

Last year’s volume, measured by number of units, amounted to a drop of about 14.5 percent from 2006. The dollar volume, compared to the previous year, was down about 8.7 percent. Underscoring the “real estate is local” mantra, median price gains among the counties ranged from zero to nearly 16.1 percent.

Among highlights the broker-owned service noted for 2007:

  • The median price for single family homes that sold last year area-wide was $342,000, up 5.9 percent from the previous year.
  • Among the counties, the median selling price of a single family home (half sold for more, half for less) ranged from $154,500 in Grant County to $563,250 in San Juan County.
  • Five counties reported double-digit price gains for sales of single family homes compared to 2006, topped by Lewis County at 15.9 percent.
  • Condominium prices jumped 10.6 percent from 2006 to 2007. The area-wide median price rose from $235,000 to $260,000.
  • Kitsap County topped the charts in price gains for condos. Last year’s median sales price of $337,400 was 82.4 percent higher than the 2006 figure of $185,000. Several new developments contributed to the price jump.
  • 2,311 residences fetched more than $1 million, a 10.1 percent jump from the previous year. Of the million-dollar-plus sales, 2,186 were single family residences.
  • The MLS area covering Bellevue/West of 405, including the “Gold Coast” district encompassing Clyde Hill, Hunts Point, Medina, and Yarrow Point, had the highest number of million dollar-plus sales with 240.
  • 1,115 condominiums sold for $500,000 or more (including 125 condos that sold for more than $1 million). Seattle’s Belltown area claimed the highest number of condos that sold for a half-million dollars or more, with 201.
  • In the four-county Puget Sound region (King, Snohomish, Pierce and Kitsap), less than 5 percent (4.68 percent) of single family homes sold for under $200,000. Nearly three of every 10 homes (28.9 percent) sold for $500,000 or more.
  • Brokers added nearly 153,000 new listings of single family homes and condominiums to the inventory during 2007 (up from 140,449 the previous year).
  • NWMLS members sold more than 15,000 condominiums, about the same number as the previous year (15,038 in 2007 compared to 15,318 in 2006). About 63 percent of all condos that sold were in King County.
  • Single family homes accounted for about 83 percent of all residential sales. Of these transactions, more than half (52 percent) had three bedrooms.
  • The second quarter was the most active for pending sales, with 31.4 percent of those transactions being written during April, May or June. The last quarter, reflecting the usual seasonal slowdown plus turbulence in the mortgage market, was the slowest, with only 17 percent of pending sales taking place during that timeframe.
  • Counties within the MLS service area have wide variation of prices for 3-bedroom homes. For pre-owned homes (built 2005 or earlier) the median sales price ranged from $145,000 in Grant County to $500,000 in San Juan County. In King County it was $408,000.
  • For new homes (built in 2006 or 2007), the most expensive homes are found in San Juan County, where the median selling price was $685,000. In Grant County the median price on new homes was $182,059, earning it the distinction of being the only county in the NWMLS service area with a median selling price under $200,000 for a newly built single family home.
  • Mercer Island had the highest priced homes when comparing median prices by school district. Single family homes that sold in that district during 2007 had a median selling price of $1,081,250, followed by the Bellevue School District at $720,000.
  • Measured by “month’s supply” last year’s average was 5.57 months (meaning it would take that long to exhaust inventory at the current sales pace). The national average is 10.3 months, according to the latest report from the National Association of Realtors®.
  • Northwest MLS members maintained a high ratio of cross sales: about eight of every 10 sales (79 percent) were listed by one office and sold by a different office.
  • In King County, the average price of a residence (single family home and condo combined) that sold in 2007 was $497,855, more than twice the price paid a decade ago (1997 - $213,821). For single family homes (excluding condos) that sold in King County last year, the average price was $564,468; in 1997 it was $230,345 and in 1990, the average sales price was $178,187.

Northwest Multiple Listing Service, owned by its member brokers, is the largest full-service MLS in the Northwest. Its membership includes approximately 31,000 brokers and agents. The organization, based in Kirkland, currently serves 19 counties, mostly in western Washington, plus Grant, Kittitas and Okanogan counties in the central part of the state.

December NWMLS Update

KIRKLAND, Wash. (Jan. 7, 2008) – December brought few surprises in housing activity around Western Washington, with above-normal precipitation and floods contributing to the expected seasonal slowdown, according to officials from Northwest Multiple Listing Service.

As December came to its soggy close (marked by a month with 25 days of precipitation for Seattle), brokers had an optimistic outlook, citing pent-up demand, positive job growth, stable prices, brisk activity at open houses, and other indications of an improving market.

“Traffic at open houses between Christmas and New Year’s was the heaviest we’ve seen in a long time,” reported NWMLS director Dick Beeson, broker/owner of Windermere/Commencement Associates in Tacoma. “Buyers were very upbeat and ready to act,” he added.

Brokers reported 3,950 pending sales (offers made and accepted but not yet closed) system-wide during December, lagging November’s total of 5,194 transactions. When compared to the same month a year ago, the number of pending sales dropped by about 31 percent (5,744 versus 3,950).

Prices overall were comparable to twelve months ago, with 13 of the 19 counties in the MLS market area reporting increases (including seven counties with double-digit gains). During the month, there were 4,634 closed sales of single family homes and condominiums with an area-wide median selling price of $313,325. That’s down slightly (0.53 percent) from the year-ago median sales price of $315,000.

Comparing counties in the Northwest MLS market area, the median sales price ranged from a low of $146,500 in Grant County to a high of $594,500 in San Juan County. For the four-county Puget Sound region, the median sales price for last month’s closed sales of single family homes and condominiums was $342,000.

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Seattle Housing Market Trends

There have been significant news reports about the housing market in the media lately. Most of the reports focus on falling prices, increasing foreclosure rates and rising inventory, but at a national level. Locally, how has Seattle fared?

In November, Seattle’s residential median price of $405,000 reflected a 2.2% increase over October, but a 4.7% decrease compared to the same period last year. As the graph below shows, the median price has been underperforming for the past few months.

Seattle Housing Median Price

Seattle Median Price Change

In reviewing month over month figures, the single family home median price has stabilized while condominiums have declined the past two months. However, when compared to last November, both single family homes and condos saw higher median prices in November 2007, increasing 3.3% and 2.5%, respectively.

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Inventory Way Up, So Says the Media

Well, not quite. When compared to a year ago, yes, King County’s active listings (single family homes & condos) are up 44.3% from the prior year…but that’s been the case for most of the year.

In actuality, when compared to September, the inventory level fell 2% in October to 14,240 listings in King County. Seattle’s overall inventory inched up slightly by 2.6% to 4,197 listings.

Pending sales in the county increased 7.4% and in Seattle by 9.8% from September to October. Compared to a year ago, pending sales are down 28.5% in the county and 20.5% in Seattle. Pending sales reflect properties that went under contract but have not yet closed. In other words, more buyers made home purchases in October compared to September, though fewer overall compared to the same period last year. The median price in county and city fell to $387,500 and $396,250, respectively.

The inventory absorption rate decreased to 6.0 months in the county and 5.3 months in Seattle. What this means is that if no new listings come on the market, it will take 6 months to sell the current inventory in the county and 5.3 months to sell the inventory in Seattle. A lower absorption rate indicates a seller’s market while higher rates reflect a buyer’s market. A year ago, Seattle’s absorption rate was 2.7 months and the county’s was 2.9 months. Currently, inventory levels in the county and city reflect a normal market environment.

For condo specific market information, please visit the Seattle Condo Blog’s Seattle Condo Sales Performance - October.

Source: NWMLS (single family homes & condos)

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