Archive for January, 2008

NWMLS 2007 Homes Sales Brokers Report

(Press Release from the NWMLS)

Members of Northwest Multiple Listing Service tallied more than $32.3 billion in sales of single family homes and condominiums during 2007 . The MLS also reported 18 of the 19 counties in its market area experienced increases in median prices compared to 2006, with one county matching the 2006 price.

In its year-end summary report, Northwest MLS, whose service area covers about 80 percent of the state’s population, logged more than 82,000 closed sales during 2007. Single family homes accounted for nearly 82 percent of the number of sales and about 86 percent of the dollar volume, with condominiums making up the balance.

Last year’s volume, measured by number of units, amounted to a drop of about 14.5 percent from 2006. The dollar volume, compared to the previous year, was down about 8.7 percent. Underscoring the “real estate is local” mantra, median price gains among the counties ranged from zero to nearly 16.1 percent.

Among highlights the broker-owned service noted for 2007:

  • The median price for single family homes that sold last year area-wide was $342,000, up 5.9 percent from the previous year.
  • Among the counties, the median selling price of a single family home (half sold for more, half for less) ranged from $154,500 in Grant County to $563,250 in San Juan County.
  • Five counties reported double-digit price gains for sales of single family homes compared to 2006, topped by Lewis County at 15.9 percent.
  • Condominium prices jumped 10.6 percent from 2006 to 2007. The area-wide median price rose from $235,000 to $260,000.
  • Kitsap County topped the charts in price gains for condos. Last year’s median sales price of $337,400 was 82.4 percent higher than the 2006 figure of $185,000. Several new developments contributed to the price jump.
  • 2,311 residences fetched more than $1 million, a 10.1 percent jump from the previous year. Of the million-dollar-plus sales, 2,186 were single family residences.
  • The MLS area covering Bellevue/West of 405, including the “Gold Coast” district encompassing Clyde Hill, Hunts Point, Medina, and Yarrow Point, had the highest number of million dollar-plus sales with 240.
  • 1,115 condominiums sold for $500,000 or more (including 125 condos that sold for more than $1 million). Seattle’s Belltown area claimed the highest number of condos that sold for a half-million dollars or more, with 201.
  • In the four-county Puget Sound region (King, Snohomish, Pierce and Kitsap), less than 5 percent (4.68 percent) of single family homes sold for under $200,000. Nearly three of every 10 homes (28.9 percent) sold for $500,000 or more.
  • Brokers added nearly 153,000 new listings of single family homes and condominiums to the inventory during 2007 (up from 140,449 the previous year).
  • NWMLS members sold more than 15,000 condominiums, about the same number as the previous year (15,038 in 2007 compared to 15,318 in 2006). About 63 percent of all condos that sold were in King County.
  • Single family homes accounted for about 83 percent of all residential sales. Of these transactions, more than half (52 percent) had three bedrooms.
  • The second quarter was the most active for pending sales, with 31.4 percent of those transactions being written during April, May or June. The last quarter, reflecting the usual seasonal slowdown plus turbulence in the mortgage market, was the slowest, with only 17 percent of pending sales taking place during that timeframe.
  • Counties within the MLS service area have wide variation of prices for 3-bedroom homes. For pre-owned homes (built 2005 or earlier) the median sales price ranged from $145,000 in Grant County to $500,000 in San Juan County. In King County it was $408,000.
  • For new homes (built in 2006 or 2007), the most expensive homes are found in San Juan County, where the median selling price was $685,000. In Grant County the median price on new homes was $182,059, earning it the distinction of being the only county in the NWMLS service area with a median selling price under $200,000 for a newly built single family home.
  • Mercer Island had the highest priced homes when comparing median prices by school district. Single family homes that sold in that district during 2007 had a median selling price of $1,081,250, followed by the Bellevue School District at $720,000.
  • Measured by “month’s supply” last year’s average was 5.57 months (meaning it would take that long to exhaust inventory at the current sales pace). The national average is 10.3 months, according to the latest report from the National Association of Realtors®.
  • Northwest MLS members maintained a high ratio of cross sales: about eight of every 10 sales (79 percent) were listed by one office and sold by a different office.
  • In King County, the average price of a residence (single family home and condo combined) that sold in 2007 was $497,855, more than twice the price paid a decade ago (1997 - $213,821). For single family homes (excluding condos) that sold in King County last year, the average price was $564,468; in 1997 it was $230,345 and in 1990, the average sales price was $178,187.

Northwest Multiple Listing Service, owned by its member brokers, is the largest full-service MLS in the Northwest. Its membership includes approximately 31,000 brokers and agents. The organization, based in Kirkland, currently serves 19 counties, mostly in western Washington, plus Grant, Kittitas and Okanogan counties in the central part of the state.

Conversion Bill Update

This morning the State House convened to review the condo conversion bill (HB 2014) which passed its third reading by a vote of 94 to 1. The House version of the bill:

  • Extends the notification period from 90 days to 120 days.
  • Authorizes a city or county government to require developers to provide relocation assistance to low-income tenants in an amount to be determined by the city or county government. Currently, the state requires a $500 relocation assistance payment to low-income tenants.
  • Prohibits construction within the 120 day notification. Though, construction may begin earlier provided the developer waits at least 12 hours after the last tenant vacates.
  • Authorizes cities & counties to restrict the number of conversions.

On the other side of the aisle the State Senate will hold a public hearing on Tuesday, February 5th at 1:30 PM at 1:30 PM on January 22nd. The senate’s version (SB6411):

  • Extends the notification period from 90 days to 180 days.
  • Provides that notice of any county or city relocation assistance programs must be expressly stated to tenants.
  • Requires developers to pay relocation assistance in an amount determined by city or county ordinance.
  • Provides that the amount of relocation assistance may be adjusted annually.
  • Allow developers to begin limited construction/remodeling within the 180 day notification period only if all tenants have vacated or if they provide written waivers to the developer.
  • Authorizes cities & counties to restrict the number of conversions.

I have been in favor of some sort of change to the current requirements - 90 days notice and $500 towards low-income tenants - which is hardly anything. The cost to move and secure a new place to live is considerably more than $500. And, if you’re not low-income, you get nothing. But, I’m a little skeptical about placing limits on conversions. I’m a firm believer that the market will self-correct and adjust accordingly. And, it has.

1. “Repartmenting”

In the past six months, the slowing condo market has taken its toll in Seattle. At least three heavily promoted conversion projects have reverted, or repartmented, back to apartments. These include the Max in Greenwood as well as the Strata and Gables in West Seattle.

2. Repurposing

Another trend that we’re now seeing in Seattle is the repurposing of condominium projects to apartments. The most recent example was Expo62 in lower Queen Anne. However, it wasn’t the only one. The Landes on First Hill and the Chloe on Capitol Hill, both originally planned as condos, will be developed at apartments.

Also, there is speculation that more are on the way such as the recent announcement that the Domaine project on Queen Anne is currently up for sale as an apartment complex.

3. Constructing

Often overlooked is the new apartment boom that’s occurring in the Emerald City. Several high-rise apartment buildings are presently under construction or in development in downtown. These include The Olivian at 8th and Olive, Kinects on Minor at Stewart, the Aspira at Stewart & Terry as well as three additional high-rises on 2nd & Virginia and 3rd & Virginia, a twin-tower development at 6th & Lenora, and the massive 500+ unit 1200 Stewart project.

A number of smaller apartment projects are under construction around the Seattle Center including The Borealis (Denny & Dexter), Taylor 28 (Taylor & Denny) and the Bernard (Warren & John).

In the north end, The Tyee is currently under construction across from Green Lake, which joins the large apartment projects planned for the old Vitamilk (The Park 71) and Albertson’s (Alexan Green Lake) lots. And, in Greenwood, the old Leilani Lanes parcel is expected to be developed as apartments as well.

Capitol Hill will also see new rental inventory with the Packard (12th & Pine), The Pearl (15th & Madison) and the Agnes Lofts (12th & Pike). Additionally, two large apartment projects are planned on Broadway at Pine Street and the old QFC lot.

4. Fundless
The mortgage meltown and the evolving housing market have combined to dry up funding for conversions. Many developers, as reported by the Daily Journal of Commerce, are finding it difficult to obtain financing for conversions. Lenders are realizing that conversions are now too risky to fund. The heyday of mass conversions that we’ve experienced between 2005 and 2007 has passed.

The heart of the bills are necessary, namely the parts that softens the stress of displacement and provides relocation assistance for tenants. Though, artificially constricting conversions, which provide first-time homeownership opportunities, on the basis of a declining rental stock is simply unnecessary. Clearly, the market has adjusted as witnessed by the more than 1,000+ new apartment homes being built. The new apartments aren’t just for the wealthy, either. A number of projects are aimed towards the affordable apartment housing market.

December NWMLS Update

KIRKLAND, Wash. (Jan. 7, 2008) – December brought few surprises in housing activity around Western Washington, with above-normal precipitation and floods contributing to the expected seasonal slowdown, according to officials from Northwest Multiple Listing Service.

As December came to its soggy close (marked by a month with 25 days of precipitation for Seattle), brokers had an optimistic outlook, citing pent-up demand, positive job growth, stable prices, brisk activity at open houses, and other indications of an improving market.

“Traffic at open houses between Christmas and New Year’s was the heaviest we’ve seen in a long time,” reported NWMLS director Dick Beeson, broker/owner of Windermere/Commencement Associates in Tacoma. “Buyers were very upbeat and ready to act,” he added.

Brokers reported 3,950 pending sales (offers made and accepted but not yet closed) system-wide during December, lagging November’s total of 5,194 transactions. When compared to the same month a year ago, the number of pending sales dropped by about 31 percent (5,744 versus 3,950).

Prices overall were comparable to twelve months ago, with 13 of the 19 counties in the MLS market area reporting increases (including seven counties with double-digit gains). During the month, there were 4,634 closed sales of single family homes and condominiums with an area-wide median selling price of $313,325. That’s down slightly (0.53 percent) from the year-ago median sales price of $315,000.

Comparing counties in the Northwest MLS market area, the median sales price ranged from a low of $146,500 in Grant County to a high of $594,500 in San Juan County. For the four-county Puget Sound region, the median sales price for last month’s closed sales of single family homes and condominiums was $342,000.

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Interesting…Pet Allowance Benefit

Not housing related but I came across this article that I thought was innovative. Kyoritsu Seiyaku, a Japanese animal medicine manufacturer, started offering pet-owning employees a monthly pet allowance saying “everyone has the right to own a pet, but they also have the obligation to raise the pet for its whole life.”

http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/asia-pacific/7172050.stm

When I volunteered at the Seattle Animal Shelter I was astounded by the number of people who surrendered their pets because they couldn’t afford them. Wouldn’t it be great if other companies followed suit.